B. Dortmund vs Man City Prediction and Betting Tips: UEFA Champions League: 14/04/2021

B. Dortmund vs Man City Prediction, Preview, Team News and Betting Tips

B. Dortmund vs Man City UEFA Champions League

Trailing 2-1 from the first leg, Borussia Dortmund must win to-nil or by a 2+ goal margin to reach the UEFA Champions League (UCL) semi-finals inside 90’. However, you would have to go back to April 2014 to find their last UCL knockout win vs a fellow side from a top-five European league to yield a 2+ goal margin and/or a clean sheet.

 

That said, Dortmund are unbeaten in eight UCL home games (W5, D3), going 1-0 up inside 20 minutes in two of the last four wins within that sequence. However, two successive draws form the tail end of this run, both of which saw the opposition score their first goal of the match via a penalty awarded between the 61st-75th minute.

 

Aiming for a first European trophy in over half a century, Manchester City are in pole position to reach their second UCL semi-final in five years. The English champions-elect should be confident, after recording just one defeat across their last 19 UCL matches (W15, D3, L1), and scoring a dramatic late winner in the first leg of this tie.

 

Impressively, nine (a 60% majority) of the 15 wins came against another side from within the continent’s five biggest European domestic top flights. Meanwhile, City’s winning margin across the three away wins of that sequence averages at 2.00 goals. The last two of those away wins saw City open the scoring inside the first 30 minutes of clean-sheet victories (HT: 1-0).

 

Players to score: After equalizing late in the first leg, Marco Reus is now Dortmund’s outright top scorer in the UCL with 18 goals – Dortmund’s win-rate from UCL games seeing him score a second-half goal is 50% (W4, D2, L2). Just minutes later, City dynamo Phil Foden became the youngest Englishman to score a 90th minute winner in a UCL match.

 

Hot stat: City have averaged 3.20 goals per match across their last ten UCL victories over a fellow team from a top-five European domestic league.

 

Prediction: B. Dortmund [1] vs [1] Man City