Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction and Betting Tips: 02/05/2021

Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction, Preview, Team News and Betting Tips

Newcastle vs Arsenal United Premier League

Having played out a horrible run of eight Premier League (PL) defeats in ten not so long ago, Newcastle have turned things around after just one defeat in their last eight (W2, D5, L1) and are almost safe for another year. Just three first-half goals across those eight games and four goals after the 80th minute – including two in injury time – has highlighted their never-say-die spirit.

 

Now undefeated in five at home (W2, D3), the ‘Magpies’ opened the scoring in four of those. Games have been tight here this season with a league-high 13 games seeing both sides score, while none of the last 11 saw any side beat a handicap to win.

 

On course for their worst league placing since 1994/95 (12th), Arsenal will be hoping to avoid a European hangover after losing to Villarreal on Thursday, and will be mindful of their lowly 33% win-rate this season when playing after a Europa League gameweek (W4, D2, L6). Still, with 16 victories in the last 17 outings versus Newcastle, Arsenal may be facing the right opponent to improve that percentage.

 

The ‘Gunners’ also enter this clash unbeaten in their last four PL road trips (W2, D2), actually winning more away than at home this season (7 vs 6). Much of their away league success has been built on strong second-half performances, which have seen them concede a miserly two goals – a league low.

 

Players to score: Newcastle have never lost when Callum Wilson has scored this season, and his goal participation rate of 41.67% is the highest in the squad (10G, 5A). Meanwhile, Arsenal’s Alexandre Lacazette has scored in three of his last four away games, and currently has the second most away goals of any PL player this season (ten).

 

Hot stat: Eleven of Arsenal’s last 14 victories over Newcastle came ‘to nil’.

 

Prediction: Newcastle [1] vs [2] Arsenal